Saturday, January 20, 2007

Hillary: I was raised in a middle class family in the middle of the Country

Today, Hillary Rodham Clinton officially entered the fray of Presidential politics. You should watch the video below. It's well made, she looks comfortable, the message isn't bad, and her timing is fantastic. Expect to hear a great deal about it in the next couple of days.

I'm excited about her candidacy. The mere fact that she's running is historic. But, it's got the potential to be of massive historic proportions. That alone is enough to get excited about, so this isn't an endorsement.

You can be sure that this is a decision she didn't make without careful consideration. Neither Hillary, nor Bill Clinton are big fans of losing. She's in it to win. I think she can.

To earn victory, Clinton will have to get in the trenches of Iowa, NH, Nevada, and SC. She will have to show the voters that she wants it, that she's got a vision for America, that she's willing to work for it, and that she's got what it takes to be Commander in Chief. Given her incredible discipline and talented inner-circle, I think she can do all those things. Will she?

American Research Group released a poll in December showing Hillary leading in all four early Primary and Caucus States. Click here and scroll down a little to see a graph of all possible Democratic candidates and how they fared in Iowa, Nevada, New Hampshire, and South Carolina.

Should Hillary be successful in earning the Democratic Party's nomination, she will also be a formidable candidate in the General Election. She's got 100% name ID and she's at 47% both positive and negative name ID. That means she's got about 6% to work with. I think that's great news. If somebody hasn't already formed a negative opinion of her, they just might not. Those numbers are better than John Kerry ended up with at the conclusion of the 2004 campaign. Let's also not forget that her husband is the best campaigner in our lifetimes. He will not be hidden from the public as he was in 2000 or sidelined by health problems as he was in 2004. You can expect him, maybe even Chelsea, to be out on the trail for her early and often.

This will be a very interesting campaign. All political hacks will relish the opportunity to observe and analyze the most diverse Democratic Primary for President in history. We may very well end up with a woman, an African American, a Hispanic, and a Southern Democrat.

I look forward to watching this campaign play out over the next year.

4 comments:

Erik said...

i love her.

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Jerry Gene said...

Nice post! Can’t wait for the next one. Keep stuff like this coming.

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